Spring arrived early in North Texas — and it didn’t bother knocking. After a cold, gray Saturday, Sunday is shaping up to be the kind of afternoon that makes Texans forget winter ever happened.
Forecasters are tracking a sharp one-day turnaround across the Dallas-Fort Worth metroplex for Sunday, March 29, 2026, with temperatures swinging from chilly morning lows into the mid-to-upper 80s by afternoon. It’s the sort of weather whiplash that’s become almost a signature of Texas spring — and this year, it’s hitting harder than usual.
A Tale of Two Temperatures
Start your Sunday in a jacket. That’s the honest advice. Morning lows are expected to settle in the upper 40s to low 50s across much of North Texas, with CBS Texas forecasting cold starts before a rapid afternoon warm-up pushes readings into the low-to-mid 80s. By the time most people finish brunch, the coats will be back in the car.
In Dallas proper, AccuWeather is calling for a high of 85°F and a low of 63°F — a 22-degree swing that’ll have residents cycling through their entire wardrobe before noon. Meanwhile, just a few miles northwest in North Richland Hills, conditions are expected to run slightly cooler, with a high of 66°F and a low of 48°F, according to a separate projection.
That gap — nearly 20 degrees between neighboring communities — underscores just how much microclimates can diverge across the sprawling metroplex, especially during transitional weather.
Wind, Sun, and a Warmer-Than-Normal Month
It’s not just warm. It’s windy warm. Southerly winds are expected to gust up to 25 mph Sunday afternoon, helping accelerate that temperature rise while also keeping things interesting for anyone with outdoor plans. Sunny skies are in the mix too — the kind of bright, flat Texas sunshine that feels almost aggressive after a cold morning.
The backdrop matters here. On Saturday, March 28, conditions in Dallas were decidedly more subdued — 57°F at mid-afternoon, overcast skies, and a light easterly breeze, as recorded by WeatherSpark. Sunday’s forecast represents a full meteorological pivot in under 24 hours.
And zooming out, March 2026 has been running 4.7°F warmer than average across Texas, according to ease weather data compiled this month. Sunday’s partly cloudy forecast — high of 27°C (about 81°F), low of 12°C, with zero precipitation expected — fits neatly into that pattern of an unusually mild month.
How Does This Stack Up Historically?
Here’s the thing: even by Texas standards, this is warm. Climate averages for early March in Texas typically put highs around 71.6°F, climbing to roughly 74.3°F by mid-month. Sunday’s Dallas forecast of 85°F blows past those benchmarks with room to spare.
Historically, Texas Marches tend to be a mixed bag — somewhere between 3 and 8 rainy days, about 137 mm of total rainfall, and nearly 9 hours of daily sunshine, per long-range climate data. This particular Sunday looks to cash in on the sunny side of that ledger, skipping the rain entirely.
Still, anyone who’s spent a March in Texas knows better than to book outdoor plans without a backup. The state’s weather has a sense of humor, and it doesn’t always share the punchline in advance.
What It Means for the Weekend
For most North Texans, Sunday is simply a good day to be outside — provided they can get past the cold morning. The combination of sunshine, near-record warmth, and dry conditions makes for an almost ideal late-March afternoon, even if the wind keeps things a little lively.
That said, the warm spell carries a broader footnote. A month running nearly five degrees above normal isn’t just a pleasant anomaly — it’s part of a longer pattern that meteorologists and climate scientists have been watching closely across the southern United States. One warm Sunday is just weather. A warm month, year after year, is something else entirely.
For now, though, the forecast is simple: shed the jacket by noon, watch for gusts, and enjoy it while it lasts — because in Texas, the next cold front is never more than a few days away.
